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The Animal Health Department launched on 28/08/2020 the first international modeling challenge in animal epidemiology. This challenge aims to improve the collective capacity of teams of modelers to predict the spread of a large-scale epizootic and to support public decisions in crisis situations. A virtual epidemic has been generated on the example of African swine fever in a realistic European context, at the interface between wild boars and animal husbandry. Since the launch, nine international teams have been using the simulated synthetic data in real time and mobilizing statistical and mathematical models to predict the outcome of the epidemic and attempt to identify the most effective control strategies to limit the impact of the disease on the territory. The last predictions are expected in the spring of 2021. At the end of this period, a collective reflection will aim at identifying the most promising modeling methods or combinations of methods to act in a reactive and reliable way in case of a real health crisis.

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